El Salvador has adopted Bitcoin as its official national currency. Other small countries with traditionally weak currencies might also replace their national currencies, or the US dollar, with a privately-created cryptocurrency. Large countries with geopolitical ambitions will adopt their own state-controlled cryptocurrencies so as not to give up seigniorage gains and to continue pursuing an independent monetary policy.

Impressive profit and growth figures from Swiss companies. A look at the World Climate Conference in Glasgow. Learn more about the decisions around methane emissions, deforestation and coal production in the latest edition of Aquila Focus with Nicolas Peter, Head of Investments Aquila.Follow us also on LinkedIn: https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbDJEYmZWX3ZISDhISC1RQUhWamZUVkdoNngxQXxBQ3Jtc0ttOUxvd2UyUTFvaElHRmQ0akh1ZkIwVGpBbnFBd1QtMkl0dENXb3JVRDljWF9wQVRaZVZqVVdneU9Fb3pQZTdHM1ZNYWRwd1pOMy02RDE0MF9zLW5feHhDUlE2SG9FV0FoSkdWb1RiYV82WWlzY29QSQ&q=httpsch.linkedin.comcompanyaquila-ag

Focus Points:

0:00 Intro
0:15 Swiss shares
1:21 World Climate Conference in Glasgow

#SMI 1TP5World Climate Conference #Glasgow #EAM #Aquila

Cryptocurrencies are on the rise worldwide. Central banks themselves, with their policies of negative real interest rates and exploding money supply, are to blame for this. Indeed, they are probably the main culprits. Almost all countries are considering the introduction of their own cryptocurrencies and would want to ban private cryptocurrencies should these become too successful.

Significant recovery on the stock markets. Rebound thanks to strong start to the US reporting season. The topic of stagflation is increasingly making the rounds. Find out more about the current direction of our investment policy in the latest issue of Aquila Fokus with Nicolas Peter, Head of Investments at Aquila.

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Focus Points:
0:00 Intro
0:16 The recovery of the stock markets
1:41 The latest decisions of the Aquila Investment Committee.

The Bundestag election result is likely to be neutral for the markets. The Fed’s move to policy normal-ization indicates higher interest rates are coming. This will hit Tech stocks. A bigger spread between short and long rates means the maturity transform-ation business of banks will become more profitable.

We are sticking to our forecast for global economic growth of around 5.0% for this year. However, the growth rate has already passed its peak. For 2022, we expect growth of 4.0%.
China is also facing weakening economic growth. Moreover, there are problems in the real estate sector.
The Biden Administration is having difficulty finding Congressional majorities for its ambitious $3,500 billion spending package.
The Fed wants to start reducing (“tapering”) its bond-buying programs in November.
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) member interest rate forecasts (the “dot plots“) are consistent with one rate hike next year followed by three rate hikes in each of the following two years.
The September FOMC monetary policy meeting and the indication that the Fed will begin tapering bond purchases later this year had only a marginal impact on the US dollar yield curve.
The quiet sideways trend in the US dollar continues.

The independent asset managers in Switzerland are facing reality, both with a political turnaround in Germany and with a stock market that, in the face of expected interest rate hikes, will no longer be so exhilarating, as the latest AVI index shows.

Economic growth figures down, but remain solid. FED holds out the prospect of tapering. Evergrande story creates uncertainty in equity markets. Learn more about our current investment policy and asset allocation in the latest edition of our Aquila Focus with Nicolas Peter, Head of Investments Aquila.

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Focus Points:
0:00 Intro
0:15 The slowdown in economic growth
0:46 Tapering
1:17 China

#Tapering #Evergrande 1TP5Insecurity

Peking’s policies of debt containment have left skid marks on Chinese economy, and they are hurting China’s property market.

The Senate’s passing of a $1 trillion infrastructure package with the support of 19 Republican senators, including Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, shows the Biden Administration still has momentum behind its government spending objectives.

Strong quarterly figures from US companies. Encouraging reporting season supports equity markets and also the US labor market is recovering. Learn more about the expected economic outlook and our investment policy in the latest edition of our Aquila Focus with Nicolas Peter, Head of Investments Aquila.

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Focus Points:
0:00 Intro
0:19 Encouraging US reporting season supports stock markets
1:33 What could cause volatility again in the short term

#Earnings growth #USlabor market #JacksonHole

Not only in China, but also in the US and even the EU, governments are concerned about the ubiquitous power of Big Tech. The influence of their platforms on elections, the security of vast amounts of consumer data and the exploitation of workers are increasingly putting these companies under the spotlight of authorities. In the US, congressional hearings have been held and antitrust lawsuits filed, so far without far-reaching consequences. In China, on the other hand, the government is tightening the reins and the political system allows for quicker action.